Iowa has rated as a toss-up by both FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics this year, but is lately a “leans Trump” in the former. It’s still rated “toss-up” on RCP’s map, but their poll average for the state has it at Trump +0.7.
But then the Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, one of the most important final polls before election day, put out their new result.
They have Trump up by SEVEN over Biden, at 48% to 41%. That’s a YUGE margin.
People are still working out their maps, and yours truly will have one tonight or in the morning, but the late breaks for Trump are something to EXPECT. That’s why they’re scared.
Keep your eye on Arizona next. Got a strong feeling tomorrow’s trackers will move Arizona from Biden to TIE or even to TRUMP tomorrow.
The bean counters think it’s all over. But baby, it ain’t until it is.