A new Fox News poll has Joe Biden over President Trump in the key swing state of Florida 46% to 43%.
Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in the key swing state in 2016 by the margin of 48.6% to 47.4%.
Fox News reports there are enough undecided/third-party voters (12 percent) to shift the race either way, and the former vice president’s 3-point edge is within the poll’s margin of error.
Some of Trump’s highest support comes from white voters (+18), whites without a college degree (+24), and conservatives (+41). He is underperforming among each of these groups compared to 2016, when he won whites by 32 points, no degree whites by 36, and conservatives by 62.
Biden’s advantage is mainly due to a 12-point lead among women. He is also the favorite among Hispanics (+18 points) and independents (+11). Biden is over-performing Hillary Clinton’s 2016 support among women and independents, and underperforming among Hispanics. Clinton won women by 4 points and Hispanics by 27 points, but lost independents by 4 points.
Voters “extremely” interested in the election go for Biden by 4 points (49-45 percent).
Trump won the Sunshine State by just one percentage point in 2016. Eighty-nine percent of Republicans voted for him then. Today, 88 percent of Republicans approve of the job he is doing and 85 percent back him in the ballot test against Biden.
Trump’s overall job rating stands at 51 percent approve and 47 percent disapprove.
“The discrepancy between the approval number and the vote is telling,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who directs the Fox News Poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. “It suggests some may be okay with what Trump’s doing, but dislike how he handles himself. Those are voters the White House will be targeting over the next six months.”
Overall, 59 percent of Florida voters approve of the job Republican Ron DeSantis is doing as governor, while 33 percent disapprove. He also gets positive marks for his handling of the coronavirus situation: 54 percent approve vs. 37 percent disapprove.